WORLD WAR III HAS BEGUN AND WE ARE UNAWARE

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Most of the Earthlings keep looking at the happenings in the Middle East, in horror. We assume, and many times are made to believe, that any time this conflict may spill over to the other regions of the world, making way for World War III. If we thought that the 21st-century World War would be fought, just like the previous two wars, then we are sadly mistaken. In fact, without our awareness, World War III has already begun. This is a long drawn war, which would last for a couple of decades. The war can be divided into three phases:

  • Phase 1 – Masquerading
  • Phase 2 – Utter Chaos
  • Phase 3 – Subjugation

Phase 1- Masquerading

We are towards the end of ‘Phase 1’. The developments until now were looking, in control, and moving in a linear fashion. However, some of the recent developments indicate, that few aspects of ‘Phase 2’ have emerged preternaturally, which is hastening the world towards ‘Phase 2’, in a disorderly manner.

Amongst many, the most important pillars of modern-day warfare are economic, psychological, and technological warfares. These pillars are so integrated that despite being separate entities, they intersect and complement each other, regularly.

WINNING WITHOUT FIGHTING

In the 80s, Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping, along with the opening of the Chinese economy,  ushered in the vision for the Chinese supremacy. The coming two decades were dedicated to ancient Chinese wisdom of “Deck the Tree with False Blossoms”(Through the use of artifice and disguise, make something of no value, appear valuable), and “Deceive the heavens and cross the ocean”(Mask your real goals with a fake goal, until your aims are achieved). Let us see, how the whole plan was implemented.

DECEPTIVE PSYCHOLOGICAL WARFARE – THE MAKING OF CHIMERICA

Soon after the opening of the Chinese economy in the 80s, both the United States and China had their goals set. The United States wanted China to join the mainstream world, and open up it’s vast markets to the western world. China had its sight set on achieving its past glory. Education and technological advancements were the need of the hour for China. Soon, the exchange programs were introduced. Chinese students and scientists inundated the American universities, and research institutions, to fulfill that dream.  Rampant stealing of the American trade secrets, military secrets and research papers by these students and scientists leapfrogged Chinese progress.

The initial plans of “Feign Madness but Keep your Balance”(Hide behind the mask of a simpleton, to create confusion about your intentions and motivations), were fulfilled by the turn of the millennium. China got the best and cutting edge technology from around the globe, in its factories. This improved China’s know-how of the latest technology in the world, at no extra cost. China didn’t work on hunches and hopes; rather, it took into account a full consideration of all prevailing constraints and contemporary realities in the larger context, to move steadily towards its goals. The hundred-year marathon is one such plan, and China is determined to climb that tower of Babel, at any cost. China wants to be the number one country in the world by the year 2049 – the hundredth year of the revolution.

CONSOLIDATION – THE PREPARATORY PHASE

Soon into the 21st century, China started consolidating its position in various fields. The United States and the rest of the world were busy with the conflicts in West Asia. This kept the attention away from China. China remained focused on its goals and never took part in any peacekeeping force, or conflict resolution. China quietly kept spreading its wings in Africa, Australia, N & S America, and The South China Sea, militarily and economically. It was building Islands and military bases in the disputed South China Sea with impunity, adding to China’s economic and military reach. China’s purchase of mines and rare earth deposits, all over the world, was considered an innocuous investment. However, no one realized that China was building the capacity, which could choke crucial supplies to any country, which didn’t toe its line. In 2015 alone, China invested over $60 billion in Africa. By 2018, the staggering figure had reached over $299 billion. China further strengthened its position by doling out loans for infrastructure and other projects to gullible countries like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Cuba, Ukraine, Venezuela, Ecuador, Djibouti, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, the Maldives, Mongolia, Montenegro, Pakistan, and Tajikistan. China is the sole lender in the world, who hopes, not to get the loans paid back. Nonpayment of loans, facilitates China in acquiring ports, airfields, and State-run companies, of defaulting countries, at a bargain price. This also gives China a foothold, in far-flung lands, which would be crucial, if and when, the hostilities break out.

The turn of the millennium was the right time to introduce many concepts in a more aggressive manner. One of them was to modify the thought process of the world, in China’s favor. The deception was the key ingredient of this concoction. Major western think-tanks, policymakers, and columnists were either hired for the purpose or misled into believing the deceptive information. The western media was flooded with advertisements depicting China, as a very powerful, very advanced but still very humble, and just country. Over 500 Confucius Institutes, on the campuses of foreign universities, were effectively used to further the spread of the Chinese way of thinking.  University campuses were the right place to start the spread of Chinese psychological tool, ‘Alienation’. It aimed at generating dissension and discord in the intra-governments, military-civil, and intra-military groups of the rival countries. The purpose was simple, demoralize the key elements of the opposing forces at any cost. This task was further supported by a team of over 2 million hackers and deep-fakers. They bombard rival countries with disinformation and fake videos. The quality of these fakes is extremely good and has been successful in altering the opinion of the populace in many countries. Nepal is one such example. Chinese firmly believe in the phrase, “castles are inevitably easier to attack from within”.

FINANCIAL WARFARE – A WAY OF LIFE

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Chart Courtesy: statista.com

The American ways of punishing countries economically, are old and outdated. China is the new champion of direct economic action. Case, in particular, is of South Korea’s Lotte Group. In Mar 2017, Lotte Group agreed to a land-swop deal with the Korean Government that permitted the latter to host the United States missile defence system THAAD. China perceived THAAD as a threat, and responded strongly against Lotte, by closing down 90 of its stores in China. Lotte lost $9.6 billion for legitimately handing over land to its own government, in its own country. This action of China indicated that it is either getting aggressive or desperate.

Many other innovative companies world over, are also bleeding profusely, due to various Chinese actions. Integrated circuits company Micron, Dutch semiconductor company ASML, steel producer U.S. Steel, battery company A123 Systems, microchip producer ATopTech are all victims of Chinese espionage and bankruptcy buyout. Motorola, once a leading American company, was amongst the first few to get into China. China had one condition, Motorola teaches the latest and most advanced technology to its Chinese employees and suppliers. Motorola knew that China would copy the company’s technology and become a competitor. But in its greed to capture the Chinese market, it committed suicide.  Motorola was eventually bought by a Chinese company, Lenovo. Boeing, Apple, Pratt and Whitney, Microsoft, Tesla, and many others also remained ignorant, and have lost billions, while trying to capture the Chinese market. China is estimated to be accountable for 50 to 80 percent of intellectual property theft worldwide. China is also accused of over 90 percent of cyber-enabled economic espionage in the United States. It has been estimated by various economic groups that Chinese intellectual property theft is damaging the U.S. economy by over $300 billion annually.

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Courtesy: The Balance

China had heavily invested the revenue earned from exports, in the U.S. Treasury Bonds. China owns almost a fourth of the U.S. debt, owned by foreigners($1.09 Trillion), which is a ticking bomb. If China, withdraws this money, it would lead to the free fall of the dollar and start a currency war.  However, time for the currency war would come in ‘Phase 2’.

TECHNOLOGICAL SUPREMACY – THE LAST STUMBLING BLOCK

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Innovative Economies: Courtesy wipo.int

In the last decade, China recognized that transfer of basic technology from the West is not going to help it realize its plan. Access to the latest and cutting edge, military and commercial technology was urgently needed. To achieve that aim, China introduced a new principle, ‘Besiege Wei to rescue Zhao(When the enemy is too strong to be attacked directly, then attack something he holds dear). China’s strategy was to rob, replicate and replace. Rob the technologically advanced companies of its intellectual property (IP), replicate the technology, and replace the original company in the Chinese market in the present day and, globally, in the future.

China’s J-22 and J-31 fighter planes bear the striking resemblance to the American F-22 Raptor and F-35 respectively. Both the designs were stolen by a Chinese national named Su Bin, who got away with just 46 months in the U.S. federal prison, for his crime. Chinese hackers have been targeting dozens of western universities and private companies over the past many years to steal military-related maritime technology. China is also desperate to make a passenger airplane, to break the American and the French monopoly. They have already hacked and stolen the airplane body designs. The airplane(COMAC) is ready but it lacks a reliable engine. ‘Make in China 2025’, has been launched to fulfill all such dreams, and put China on a fast trajectory.

The question comes, how China gets away with all these thefts. The answer is simple, to escape the American legal system, China has an innovative strategy called, military-civil fusion. This means that IP theft is undertaken by the Chinese military. In case of any legal challenge in the American courts, the commercial venture washes it’s hands off the espionage, since the hacking and stealing was done by the military. This ‘Economic Warfare’ damages the enemy monetarily, and the ‘Psychological Warfare’ breaks the morale of the commercial entities and the military.

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AI Competitive Advantage: Courtesy deloitte.com

The quickest, and hassle-free way to get high-tech know-how is to invest in critical technology companies in the West. China has done exactly that. Understanding the intentions of China well, Western countries are worried about the safety of their technological innovation and national security. The investments have been done in the companies, involved in artificial intelligence, augmented reality/virtual reality, robotics, and financial technology. China is already emerging as a leading country in the field of ‘Artificial Intelligence’(AI) and ‘Biotechnology’. Proficiency in the production of autonomous drones(UCAV, UCS, UUV), robotic swarms, and remote and nanorobot are taking China, to a different level of modern warfare. AI is revolutionizing the economic and psychological warfare. Imagine the repercussions of a deep-fake video of a military general or a President addressing the troops or the nation. The false dissemination could plunge a country into a civil war, or a war with another country. Go through this YouTube video to understand it better:

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THE TRANSITION

Today China has achieved all the aims of ‘Phase 1’. It is the number two economy in the world. It is technologically superior to most nations, and psychologically controlling the thoughts of every policymaker across the globe. In the year 2016, Chinese Premier Xi Jinping had indicated China’s readiness to move to ‘Phase 2’, he stated: “China has become a crucial factor in changing the world political and economic outlay. We need to work harder to turn our monetary strength into international institutional authority.” Is China preparing itself to implement the principle of: Exchange the roles of Host and Guest(Usurp leadership in a situation where you are normally subordinate)? However, the latest spread of pandemic, may force China to rethink its strategy. The sharp power is not working for China. The time may not be ripe for ‘Phase 2’. The world is waiting with bated breath, what would be China’s next move, and when would China undermine the superior American military, a very advanced American technology, the universal reserve currency US dollar, and the American’s world leadership position.

Continue Reading Part 2

References:

1. The Coming Chinese Wars – Peter Navarro

2. Asia’s Cauldron – Robert D. Kaplan

3. Has China Won – Kishore Mahbubani

4. Future Wars – Robert H. Latiff

5. heritage.org – winning without fighting-the Chinese psychological warfare challenge

6. heritage.org – the economic dimension-great power competition and the role

7. wipo.int/global_innovation_index/en/2019/

8. fas.org/nuke/guide/china/doctrine/chinview/chinacont.html

9. nationalinterest.org – scary vision future warfare-humans are obsolete

10. forbes.com – ancient-wisdom

11. globalresearch.ca – China rise fall and re-emergence as a global power

 

655 thoughts

  1. A well researched article. Slightly long this time but a very interesting read. This is first time I continued to read till the end, including video and the chart depiction. Now all must be waiting for reading the next part eagerly.
    I enjoyed reading a long article after long time. You have worked very hard in researching the facts and figures. What ever is penned over here is true, but people of the world are still not ready to believe. It was one mistake that China did, so the whole world came to know about the rogue country. The article was well timed. Waiting for the concluding part of the article.
    Regards

    Sanjay Jaiswal

    1. Thank you so much, Sanjay, for stopping by and sharing your valuable experience. It is indeed the biggest challenge China has faced after the Tiananmen square episode of 1989. I suppose, China would take a hit in its stride, and would carry on regardless, towards their ultimate goal.

      1. A really insightful article… what about the not unbelievable theory that this pandemic was created by them as a biological weapon?
        Isn’t it strange that they have the situation entirely under control, restricting the damage to one province in such a huge country both in terms of area & population??

      2. I have a theory in this regard. The Wuhan Institute of Virology is a level 4 lab. They undertake a lot of genome experimentations and alterations of DNA using the CRISPR technique. The experimental animals are supposed to be disposed of safely, following procedures, since they are a biohazard. However, the greed of some the staff or scientists could have made them sell those animals in the wet market, from where the spread has started. Wuhan region has discontinued over 2 million phone connections in the last 3 months. That is an incredibly large number. It is suspected that those are the correct numbers of death in the Wuhan region. Even if this number is reduced by 90% then also it stands at 20000 and not 4000. So, they not only suppressed the initial information but also suppressed the number of deaths. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

      3. Can china achieve it’s inhuman goal if rest of the countries isolate it by stopping all trade…

        I don’t think so.. if china still wants to destroy rest of the world then it has to fight a real war…

      4. The world economy doesn’t work on these principles of emotions. Moving the business out would take time, and would not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China manufactures 30% of the goods in the world. Some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So, even if the other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

    2. Sir. Good afternoon. This is Jayachandra KT. It’s an absolute fact which you have articulated well. My sincere salute to you as you have pained to derive the information in an aggressive manner. I this article should reach to Govt of India, particularly for home and Defence ministry. Hats of you. Jai Hind sir.

      1. Thank you so much, Jayachandra, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I also hope that the government of India takes cognizance of this article. I want, the concepts I am working on, to help the friendly countries in general, and our country in particular. Let me work on the concluding part, thereafter, I shall forward the same to the concerned departments as suggested by you.
        Warm regards.

  2. A well researched write up with some extraordinary articulation. Infact, this brings me to another question from the national security perspective- the requirement to hire China watchers in our national security framework as absence of the same in the US system seems so apparent from this article.
    An interesting thought provoking read- looking forward for more from the writer.

    1. In today’s complex geopolitical spectrum there are innumerable variables. China is not a country, easy to bow down. Their long term plans are in place and they are very focused. Thank you so much, Alok, for stopping by and sharing your experience and wisdom.

    2. Thank you so much, Alok, for stopping and sharing your experience and wisdom. China is a very focused country. They do not deviate from their long term plans. The Corona fiasco is a blip on their radar. They would get over it and match on regardless.

  3. Nice article. China was originally propped up with extensive dual use technology transfer by the US in the Cold War Era. Whilst at the same time denying and sanctioning India. This was to provide a counter to the erstwhile Soviet Union. Ironically, today the counter is required against China and the only nation capable of it is India. Perhaps the pandemic will allow India to see itself differently and “reset, and reboot” itself.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping and sharing your thoughts. I agree with you, that the road ahead is not smooth for China. However, moving out of business would take time, and may not be 100%. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China produces 30% of the manufactured goods of the world, and some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task, they neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.
      Surely, the business would not be as usual for China. It would be interesting to see how China would control unemployment, which was already at a 5.8% pre corona era.

  4. Well structured and researched article. For a moment even if I believe India and like minded countries could offer stiff resistance to Chinese aggressive and ill intentioned approach …Do we( possible alliance countries) Have deep enough pockets to get already debt trapped countries out chinese clothes which I guess would be crucial and X factor to counter the dragons .
    Thanks again for the articles , hope Chinese someday realise web formed by spider to prey insects doesn’t spare Spider itself !
    Nagesh .

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your valuable inputs. You have a very valid point. None of the countries have the wherewithal of China. Is’s debt to GDP ratio is better than the U.S. and Japan. It has foreign currency reserves of over $3 trillion. It has huge armed forces, which are systematically moving towards automation and AI. The most important thing about China is that they are focused and free of regime change. This gives them a continuation of strategy and it’s implementation.

  5. With so huge human life loss across the globe the public perception is strongly against China. Balance of power can be provided by alliance of 2-3 countries like Japan, India, Korea & Israel. These countries contribute around 14% of the overall Manufacturing across the globe & have always been wary of the Chinese tactics. Recently Indian Govt has made it mandatory to seek permission in case any Chinese entity wants to invest in India. Countries would have to look into their eye like India did at Doklam to bust this myth of all powerful China. Angst in countries like Srilanka which had to cede it’s land to Chinese can be used constructively. United States is too busy in itself & looking like spent force already.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your wonderful insight. I largely agree with you, on most of the accounts. In fact, I was echoing similar views with another reader.
      The road ahead is not smooth for China. However, moving the business out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China manufactures 30% of the produce of the world, and some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So, even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.
      Surely, the business would not be as usual for China. It would be interesting to see how it would control unemployment, which was already at 5.8%, pre corona era.
      You are correct when you say that the U.S. looks like a spent force. It has deliberately gone slow on the Quad. Most of us may not be aware, but there are many powerful forces, within the United States, who work against the idea of Quad. The day Quad is taken seriously, China would be tamed, easily.

  6. Interesting read but with the risk of it being touted as another conspiracy theory. I wonder sometime if all or some of the countries in debt with China refuse to pay, will they use military might to recover debts? What would be the role of other countries like USA and Britain in such a conflict.

    1. A very pertinent point. However, the world is very fragmented and self-centered. Collective refusal by all the counties is very unlikely. Military action is the last resort for any resourceful country. There are various other options that a powerful country can initiates. Nonpayment also dents the rating of the borrowing country, in addition to scaring the lending agencies. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your valuable input.

  7. India is the only country in the world which can stop China, Doklam stand-off with China for 2 months is a proof, China put its tail between two legs. 94% of Han Chinese lives in 6% of the land and 6% of Chinese lives in 94% of the land which means majority of Chinese lives in North & East of China including their arms n ammunition n factories. India shares border with Tibet which is 15% of China i.e. 60% of India’s size and shape is rectangular that means mainland China & India’s border there are 800 to 1000km gap. Again between Tibet & mainland China there is Gobi desert, so there is hardly any Chinese army along the border of India. Also, India Brahmos Cruise Missile is too strong n dominant for Chinese Tanks. And Chinese ballistic missiles are not too accurate that it could cross mighty Himalayas & pin point attack on India. India could put her aircraft carrier and stop Chinese import-export (90%) in no time, Andaman-Nicober islands chains are like un-sinkable aircraft carriers (plenty of them). In order to break that impasse China has to use ballistic missiles, which involve Japan & South Korea as their shipping lanes will be damaged. If Japan gets involved, USA would get involved.

    India is the only country in the world which can afford to loose 300M people and could still stand strong in her feet, no other country except China has 300M of people. And, if India lose war against China, entire world will be bullied by China and China knows that. Now India has same manufacturing skill if not better than China and Indian labor is much cheaper than China and there is no piracy threat in India and India has democracy, judicial system, open society, 500M English speaking population (combined population of USA & Europe), great education system. India’s arable land is about the same as USA but India’s land is fertile & can be easily cultivated 3 to 4 times a year and 24×7 availability as there is no snow. My guess China’s economy will crumble within one year.

    1. Thank you so much, Riya, for stopping by and sharing your great insight. I can see you possess incredible geopolitical knowledge of our subcontinent and the surrounding counties. The road ahead is not smooth for China. However, moving the business out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China produces 30% of the produce of the world today, and some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.
      China, in its quest to become self-reliant, stole a lot of weapons designs from the western world. However, those designs are incomplete and incompatible in many ways. They have also carried out reverse engineering on many of the western systems, which are not up to the mark. Their armed forces are poorly trained and do not have any real-time experience. It is a tough road ahead for China for sure.

    2. Sandomina & Riya,
      The article starts with, as if the threat of WW III the world has started confronting. Though militarily it has not started, neither do I foresee any likelihood of WW III to happen given the threat of MAD, the possibility of limited military confrontation can’t be ruled out, in the post-CoronaVirus relatively stable world.
      And the affected area ?
      Middle east ? Well, moderate chances.
      Kashmir ? Not likely.
      The most likely zone, God forbid, could be South China sea & China’s eastern border region.
      I pray that all these 3 regions remain peaceful.

      In near future, there may also be ample likelihood of intense tussle for economic supremacy between China & the USA.
      Regarding India’s potential vis-a-vis China, Riya is right in some of her assessment, but it also appears to be too optimistic. Overall, it is gladdening to read your rating about our country’s capabilities. India’s problem is that since, at least 1988 onwards, even after showing the 1971 display, India focussed excessively on Pakistan & ignored Chinese aggressive designs, which is the root-cause of many problems that India faced.

      While Pakistan’s focus was to “bleed India through 1000 cuts” since General Zia-Ul-Haq’s regime, the Chinese continued to target India, while keeping their guns on Pakistan’s shoulder. India failed to strongly counter this co-ordinated twin-policy. But, the time is changing now.

      It was nice to read this detailed article by Sandomina & its reaction by a woman Riya, among many wise others.
      Summarily, now the whole world needs to be united against that nation, whosoever may be primarily responsible for the spread of CoronaVirus & the linked devastation it has brought for the world.
      – Sampat Lal Gupta, India.

      1. Thank you so much, Sampat, for stopping by and sharing your wonderful review.
        You are very correct in your assessment of the South China Sea. I would be touching upon that aspect in my concluding part. As far as the COVID19 is concerned, there are so many conspiracy theories. One doesn’t know what is the truth. One such theory, I am privy to is, that the Wuhan Institute of Virology was indeed conducting genome alteration procedures. The tests were conducted on animals. Standard procedure is to dispose of those animals, however, the greedy staff, instead of disposing of the animals, sold them in the Wet Market. That is how the whole infectious chain started. It was not released intentionally, else China would not have had over 2 million deaths. The deaths have been assessed, bases on the number of mobile phone disconnections. If there is an error of 80-90%, even then the figures stand at 20-40 thousand deaths, and not just 4 thousand. China made two big blunder, it suppressed the information and allowed tourists to visit Europe on the Chinese New Year.
        The road ahead is not easy for China, as well as, for the rest of the world. We are heading for a very scary and interesting phase, whichever way we look at it.

      2. Compendious article, I came across a few in recent periods. Only one small correction to the reply of comment, 80-90% of 2 million would be 1.6-1.8 MN. Which would leave a balance of 200k to 400k and not 20-40k.

      3. Thank you so much, Abhishek, for stopping by sharing your thoughts. Oh, that’s a good observation, thanks. What I was trying to explain, that the Chinese number is very big, and we should not go by what they tell us.

  8. I’ve been reading about this in bits and pieces, and its refreshing to see it put together in such a lucid analysis. Time for India to step up and play ball?

    1. Thank you so much, Atul, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. The gestalt nature of Chinese business may result in its tribulation. Most certainly, for India, this is a moment of epiphany. I hope India makes use of this opportunity.

  9. Sandomina
    You have put in a lot of efforts in assimilating various facts. Now it is upto various countries to think of a strategy to counter or scumb to tha fatal designs of China

    1. Thank you so much, Dr. YP, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. The resurrection of Quad(the U.S., India, Japan, Australia) is the only answer to stop the Chinese juggernaut. Somehow, the originator of the idea, the United States, is ignoring the Quad.

  10. I have believed since long that the entire world was contributing towards raising a Frankenstein. It has now become old enough and strong enough to bite and the hurt / pain is now showing

    1. The United States propped up China in the 70s, raised it against USSR in the 80s, and finally, the rest of the world jumped in in the 90s. You have raised a very valid point, and I am sure, all affected parties are regretting their decision today. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

  11. Well done guys,
    You have put all the bits & pieces together to see the bigger picture. I really appreciate your work. thanks for the excellent article. In fact it leave craving for more reading & understanding.

    1. That’s very kind of you. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am working on the concluding part and hope to publish it by the weekend.

  12. I am not sure if I need to treat is as another conspiracy theory or fact.

    My thoughts are

    1. Already they are dominating global manufacturing
    2. They are starting to dominate the global supply chain with OBOR
    3. They have invested heavily in the infra of several countries and are already having a dominating control over the governments
    4. In may places they could even playing a role in selection of the governments
    5. They are dominating in all new age technologies – AI, IOT, 5G etc
    6. It is said that they have more than 51% control of dominant crypto-currency nodes
    7. They have already started to dominate all global governing bodies
    8. Thought it is yet to be formally announced, the crown of global hegemony is already with them
    The list goes on…

    My question is

    When things are already going in your favor, why would you unnecessarily mess up and spoil things?

    1. The story till now has been that how has China reached this position. However, the road ahead is getting tougher, day by day. No world-leading regime has been flawless, be it American or British. Every hegemon has been challenged by the underlings and replaced. China had a good run for the last 40 years. The present challenges do not mean that China is over, and out. This just means that the road ahead won’t be easy anymore.
      I know, people around the globe are beating their chests, that the time for China is up. Withdraw, all the factories, and manufacturing units from there, etc, etc. However, my position is this, that moving the businesses out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China, over three decades ago. Moving out would not be in a jiffy. China manufactures 30% of the produce of the world. Some of them are critical components, used by various industries in their finished products. So even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.
      Thank you so much for stopping and sharing your wisdom. I, highly appreciate that.

  13. Interesting how the world turned with this coronavirus now that the reality check is done isn’t it time to put the nuts and bolts in the right place and keep the engine running and take the world to a safe destination

    1. I know that is the mood of the world populace. However, the world economy doesn’t work on these principles. Moving the business out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China manufactures 30% of the goods in the world. Some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So, even if the other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

  14. This was very indepth and extremely detailed piece.
    The whole world, specifically the major global nations have been watchful of sudden but steady rise of China to acclaim the tag of global super power. And it is dangerously fast forwarding taking over or atleast giving a tight competition to US on almost every developmental front.
    And here i thoroughly agree with The US President, that China shouldn’t not be categorised as a ‘Developing nation’. But that’s a different story altogether.

    I was bit surprised with the depth of this write-up of yours Sandeep.
    I mean this is so brilliantly put out. Every aspect. And going by the title, my next to little knowledge about geo-politics made me think, i would get to read about conflicts around US-IRAN, Iran-Israel, Kashmir, US-North korea ,US-China And then recent havoc in shape of a global pandemic that has an origin of a “developing nation” China.

    But to my surprise, this write-up gave totally different and solid aspect of critical thinking on Global warfare.

    True, it’s already in the construct and we’re unaware.

    Thanks for this brilliant piece. ☺️

    1. Thank you so much, Naman, for your kind words and in-depth analysis. We must not rule out China so early. The truth is usually somewhere in the gray turbulent eddies set in motion by the mixture of black and white. The coming few months would be very important and decisive. The road ahead is not smooth for China. However, moving the business out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China manufactures 30% of the goods of the world, and some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.

  15. Really, the very best Analysis on China. I am sure, US UK France & Germany will not be silent over the Covid-19 issue and damage they suffered and move aggressively against China.

    1. China’s meteoric rise was based on two aspects, the American deep desire for the decline of the USSR, and the Chinese deep desire to achieve their past glory. Both objectives were achieved, however, the west had unleashed a Frankenstein, which was about to bite them back. The Chinese story is not over yet. It has many twists and turns. Hopefully, you would come to know the rest of the story by this weekend, when the concluding part comes out.
      Thank you so much for your kind words.

  16. Wow! How insightful.
    I am not as educated as you and many of your respondents, but I’ve seen the handwriting on the wall for some time. But…if you don’t mind, I’m going to throw something else out there. What is the probability of, if India could stymie China, that India, herself would not take China’s place of dominance?

    Seeing this information as you present it is enlightening and confirms my already alerted instincts, but it also opens up other possible scenario’s as well. It only confirms to me that the US, is standing on feet of clay. I don’t follow conspiracy theorists, so I’ve not read articles or watched films that lean that way because they tend to be quite dramatic. I tend to be more sensual. The problem with that is it does not rest in concrete evidence. I can’t say why I know what I know.

    My first clue of this prophetic hinting of China’s rise came from a failed TV series in 2000 called “Firefly” (which has since become a cult classic), but in it, it predicted, not only would China attain world control but through it’s technology, additionally the universe. At the time, I laughed at the idea, but when I moved out west, I learned from the Chinese students dominating our colleges, that their government had partnered with ours to educate them. These students are very focused and not given a choice of what their studies are to be. Little by little, I learned how our government was also helping people of other nations to own businesses here, offering grants and monies that people in our country cannot qualify for. Who is sourcing those funds, I don’t know, but the people I have spoken with are quite open about sharing this information. How do I have contact with so many and why do they open up to me? I’m nothing more than just a lowly Uber driver. Thank you for this post.

    1. Thank you so much, Jolie, for stopping and sharing your immense wisdom. You are very correct in your assessment. Today it is China, tomorrow it could be India, taking China’s place. After all, till the 18th century, India was the world’s largest economy.
      Your argument about Chinese students is very accurate. They are very focused, and almost seem as if they are on a mission. Immigrants come to the United States, from all over the world, but Chinese immigrants are also different. They keep their roots in China. This makes very easy for the Chinese agencies to hire them, for the purpose of espionage, if the situation demands so.
      The U.S. has a big role in propping up China, and it could be regretting those steps in the 70s.

  17. Great article…
    1)But i want to know couple of things…why are we considering it as world war 3…china is just doin what USA or Russia did for so many years…and nothing wrong in trying to establish one’s hegemony over the world…A world war shud have some specific attributes to be called as world war…even in these times…technological, economical, psychological warfare can contribute greatly to a ongoing war or lead to a situation of war but at the end untill military is used i dont think this chinese strategically planned ambitious actions can b called as part of world war as they r furthering their own agenda like any other country but with more precision and planning…so i think if there is a world war…it will have to start with two things…one is there has to b atleast two great nations ready to battle it out openly and second is military action.
    2) i wanted know where does corona virus outbreak fit into the chinese world war strategy as per the article?

    1. Thank you so much, Vishal, for stopping by and sharing your wonderful insight.
      You have very valid points. All the World Wars until now have been fought to establish supremacy, so this one is no different. However, conditions and situations have changed drastically. Today, a large number of countries are armed with nuclear weapons, so any war, fought militarily would not be a decisive one. Therefore to establish a hegemony, the path would be different. We do not understand Chinese at all. They operate differently.
      For the further… Standby I am working on my concluding part.

  18. The article is really an eye opener for all right thinking people around the world. A well researched and well articulated article. The World War III has had already begun when:a particular country started making artificial islands, besides taking into possession the islands in the jurisdiction of neighboring countries. The domination of South China sea including intrusions into Indian Ocean and showing the presence of their fleets. What is their plan in real sense of term can be understood by anybody. Even in the UNO, they have made VITO POWER conferred on them as a weapon to exercise on any matter which goes counter to their viewpoint.

    Take over of countries’ strategic ports etc. in our neighbourhood and the world over too is a pointer to the hedonistic design.

    The present scenario created by COVID-19 is really very telling. It is necessary to investigate how come all the world over people are being infected; no part of the world is immune but only a few cities are infected from the country of origin???

    Thanks a lot for your well written article

    1. As always, it is a pleasure to get a review of a writer, blogger, and intellectual, all in one. You have raised some very valid points, Harbans. The world has accommodated China for a long time, without challenging its ways and means of dealing with other nations. I have studies China in detail and understand them a bit. Their ways and means are very different from the rest of the world.
      I am working on the concluding part, and hope to bring it out by the weekend.
      All the best with your book launch. I hope things are going smoothly on that front.
      Stay safe.

      1. You have been doing a great job in denuding the ways of dragon. This way, the world at large would be knowing how this nation is conducting itself for getting what it wants.

        You must have heard the latest news of Pakistan Government agreeing to let Chinese test their Vaccine without the same tested on animals first! If this news is of any substance, then, sure enough, then this is also one of the designs of the Chinese. If this news is correct then it is high time to be wary of any dealing with this country.

        Thanks for your fair and frank contribution.

        With regards

      2. Absolutely correct, Harbans. It is about time, India gets it’s due. India has never attacked or occupied any other country in human history. Despite that, India was the biggest economy in the world until the 18th century. The world has understood India’s intentions, but it is about time they take cognizance of the Chinese designs.
        Thank you once again for your timely input. With the wishes of friends like you, this article has crossed viewership of 150000, across 150 countries.

      3. Every right thinking persons with understanding and adverse consequence of the acts of omissions and commission of China will come forward and be wary of such a country.

        We shall be viewing the next publication of your write-up.

  19. Thank you so much Sandeep for detailed documentation aligned with the narrative of the article the world thinking at this point of time.

    China has been at the game for quite some time now and the ongoing damage the world has seen with COVID-19 will change the world course for sure.

    As per as India in concerned, Behind most of militancy in North east ( Assam, Nagaland, Manipur, Tripura, mizoram) is *China*
    Behind Naxalism in central and eastern states is *China*
    Behind j & k issue is *China*
    Everytime veto for hafiz Sayed, veto for Pakistan is *China* , Tableing j&k issue in UN is *China*
    Behind Urban Naxalism ( like Shahin baug like incidents) is *China*
    Some of our judiciary ( many judges) liberals, JNU, AMU professors , award wapsi groups, fake intellectuals working on payroll of *China*
    ( Other players too are behind Rukus in Bharat ,but one of the major Rukus players is China)
    High time government should role out favourable *policies for inhouse hardware and software capabilities development*( China got their own search engine, own social media, conference call App)
    Despite all in your article and insightful comments from the readers, China still isn’t and won’t be US — dollar the biggest reason. Also the whole 50+ years of strategically placing defence forces on foreign soil would come to the fore…..for US. When US provides security for weaker countries, they receive non-material benefits in return.
    Hence the weaker country may/do sacrifice control over their foreign policy and give the major power access to territory or airspace it otherwise would not have (both US, China have worked on the similar principles). Deployments in Japan and Korea gave the U.S. influence in Southeast and East Asian regional matters during the Cold War era. Failure of CPEC and silk route revival would hold China back along with their manufacturing dependency (Selling the manufactured goods) on others and USs ability to align other countries to its own agenda. Time has come to check and balance and it’s already happening with European countries making amendments to its FDI and asset takeover rules…. Its world war 3 for sure and definitely not the military one as a military one China would loose hands down…
    Looking forward to your concluding article… no pressure on you to live up to our expectations….!

    1. Thank you so much, Nitin, for stopping by and sharing your detailed analysis. Of course, as you have brought out if any country in the Eastern hemisphere can take on China, then that is India. This is the reason the United States had conceptualized the Quad. However, China has many hidden political supporters in the U.S. just like they have in India. These hidden forces have stalled the progress of Quad. Once the Quad is well established, up and running, China would run for cover. It is a matter of time before we see this happening.

    1. Thank you so much, Raman, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am working on part 2 and hoping to publish it, over this weekend.

  20. Well articulated post . Ties in well with the book extract of HR McMaster published in the Atlantic about China.

    While the practice of geopolitics has long involved the conscious absence of dharma and the singular accrual of politico-economic advantages, the real difference is that the Chinese do it better than anybody else.

    They have put to test the real value of ‘Liberty’, ‘Freedom of Speech’, ‘Democracy’ and ‘Free Markets’. Can they survive in their imagined forms or will they all submit to the power of a Confucian reinterpretation of the world.

    1. Thank you so much, Ananda, for stopping by and sharing your experience. It would be nice to catch up with the book you have mentioned.
      The issue is that the world fails to learn from Chinese history and understand how do Chinese people think. Their thought process is very different from the rest of the world, and that is where we make repeated mistakes.
      If Indian monks had not traveled to China they were very content in their own realm. Even when they accepted Buddhism, they accepted it in their own way, and not as the rest of the world accepted it.
      The day we are able to peep into their psyche, that is the day we would be able to make the correct decision against them.

  21. Very insightful article.
    However, China’s rise has been good for its people in last 30-40 years. We are used to take a world view thru Western prism. India should learn from China some good practices like heavy investment in education, primary health,self reliance in defence needs etc.. India and China are two oldest civilizations.If this century is to belong to Asia,both India&China should live peacefully with mutual respect& accommodation.
    India should not fall in the trap of anti Chinese rhetoric and harm it’s long term interests.
    India and China together can be THE biggest trading block in the world. Prior to 18 th century,India had great cultural & trading relationship with world where in Silk Route played
    An important role.
    Vivek.

    1. Thank you so much, Vivek, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.
      I agree with you on just about everything you have said. I was just mentioning to another reader with similar views. The issue is that the world fails to learn from Chinese history and understand how do Chinese people think. Their thought process is very different from the rest of the world, and that is where we make repeated mistakes.
      If Indian monks had not traveled to China, they were very content in their own realm. Even when they accepted Buddhism, they accepted it in their own way, and not as the rest of the world has accepted it.
      They are neither naive nor gullible. In fact, they are the masters of mind-games. The day we are able to peep into their psyche, that is the day we would be able to make the correct decision against them.

  22. I have yet to examine the Chinese way of thinking and progressing on the global front but I believe on what you have pointed out about their modus operandi to march on the path of advancement. Yes Sir, here instead of indulging in the anti Chinese rhetoric about their practices ,we must take some positives out of them &find a path for the much-needed economic advancement for our own country.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your experience and wisdom. At the outset, I do agree with you that we have to learn a lot from China, be it an individual or the organization. However, if you ask me to live a Chinese life, I would not like to. The biggest advantage they have is the continuity of the leadership, just like any other dictatorship. If the dictator is sensible and educated, he might turn around the country(like Singapore) if he is bad then one would land up in a very delicate situation(like any country in ME).

  23. Of course,Sandeep sir you are spot on with your wariness on Chinese reliability but then can we rely on America either with its tall ambitions?Let India not lose focus on the economic stabilisation of our nation amids the global rivalary!Its my opinion which may not be endorsed by many🤗

    1. In today’s geopolitical scenario, all the countries are looking to achieve maximum. There are no permanent friends or foes. We have seen how Pakistan shifted from the U.S. camp to China camp, how the EU is distancing itself from China, and how countries who were hobnobbing with China for OBOR loans, are abandoning the project and China. So in the milieu of world politics, it is all fluid, nothing is solid. India was the world’s economy until the 18th century until British Raj sabotaged it. I hope to see India reaching similar heights soon.

      1. On an optimistic note , we can hope to regain the 18th century scenario due to the potential India possesses in countering the odds mostly situated in our own country! Only prerequisite is that a leadership with strong resolve and selfless motives must be in place for at least 10-12 yrs like the present Govt which is trying to do a splendid job despite the persistent leg pulling in place!Additionally the Almighty God should be persuaded to postpone any further calamities for some time to facilitate build up of some breathing space and requisite immunity to face the unexpected onslaughts👍

      2. We don’t need strong governments or leaders to run countries efficiently. In fact, experts say, no government is the best government. That is what is happening in the Scandinavian countries, and that is why they are so prosperous, and successful. If the right kind of policies are in place, and various departments do their jobs properly, countries flourish. A leader with strong resolve and honestly is very much required to ensure that the policies are followed. However, a strong government is required when dealing with external powers. That is the time if the government is missing, then that can do grave damage to the country.
        I like the way your thought process works. That is the kind of thought process we need to take India to its the right place in history.

      3. Thanks for the unbiased response,Sir ! I totally agree with your painstaking research and findings and endorse it in totality!In fact We (the less enlightened lot)should feel immensely indebted to you for doing the ground work to provide the hard facts to meditatate on!Keep up the great work!We stand beside you in solidarity🙏

      4. It’s been an enriching experience, firstly, while researching and writing the subject, and secondly, while interacting with enlightened personalities of your depth. Feel free to keep suggesting or even insinuating, as that broadens the discussion. May your tribe increase.

      5. Very delighted and honoured to be given the luxury of free space to pursue the thought process on the current affairs on unbiased grounds 🙏

  24. An exhaustive research work. Excellent presentation of facts and perspectives in an interesting way.

    The Chinese puzzle is increasingly becoming the most challenging one to tackle. Because they neither follow the established rules of the game nor the fair principles. In this regard, you have also quoted may instances in your article starting from their ruthless stealing of technologies, acquisitions of gullible companies, controlling smaller countries by luring them into debt traps, etc.. All countries are aware that China is playing this game of chess to stalemate them individually and collectively in order to isolate them from interfering with its master plan; they are puzzled as to what should be their next counter move to defeat the Chinese master plan..

    Congrats Sandy. Eagerly waiting for the next part.

    1. Thank you so much, Mohan, for stopping by and sharing your wonderful insight and experience. It is always a pleasure.

      Coming to China, the issue is that the world fails to learn from Chinese history and understand how do Chinese people think. Their thought process is very different from the rest of the world, and that is where we make repeated mistakes.
      If Indian monks had not traveled to China, they were very content in their own realm. Even when they accepted Buddhism, they accepted it in their own way, and not as the rest of the world thought about it.
      The day we are able to peep into their psyche, that is the day, we would be able to make correct decisions against them.
      Working hard on the concluding part, and hope to publish it by the weekend.

  25. Ma’am: Thanks for your response. During Doklam stand-off with India, it has been reported that parents of Chinese army were very scared of full fledged war with India due to single child policy, because death of one soldier or common man is like wipe off a family chain. Also, Buddhist population of China is 25% which favors India, the day Indian army will land in Tibet, it will be independent as China kept about 100 to 200k soldiers. Where as Indian army’s total strength is over 6 Million = 1.4M active, 2.4M reservist, 1.2M BSF, 1M CRPF plus 1M others (Tibetan police, Assam rifles, Ladakh force etc). Now, if Europe, USA & India stopped buying Chinese products and removed China from WTO & do business with Taiwan (defying One-China policy then China will be forced to stop business) and accept Hongkong, Tibet as disputed territory (like China does for Kashmir), China’s economy will crumble and that will create public upraor as Millions will lose jobs and general public are tortured and not happy with the regime. Every 50 to 70 years country’s border changed and China can be no exception. During WW2 there were about 100 countries, now over 200 countries.

    1. That’s one exhaustive assessment. I am impressed with your in-depth knowledge.
      Now coming to China, the issue is very simple. The world fails to learn from Chinese history and understand how do Chinese people think. Their thought process is very different from the rest of the world, and that is where we all make repeated mistakes.
      If Indian monks had not traveled to China, they were very content, in their own realm. Even when they accepted Buddhism, they accepted it in their own way, and not as the rest of the world perceived it.
      The modern economy is so entwined and intermingled that discarding China may not be possible. In fact, China has done the opposite. It had pushed the west to where it was a decade ago. Their growth rate is negative, whereas China would still maintain a sub 2% growth rate.
      Therefore, the day we are able to peep into the Chinese psyche, that is the day we would be able to make the correct decision against them.

      1. Hey, Atul, you haven’t written anything for some time. This article of mine has been appreciated by friends like you and has crossed 180000 views in 5 days.

      2. yes, congratulations for the great many views! 🏆🏆🏆
        haven’t written for sometimes as I was busy in some college assignemnts. might post soon, i.
        best wishes and regards!

      3. Ok, great. Eagerly waiting for your intelligent posts, which must be missed by a great number of people.

      1. Thank you so much, Atul Depak. Actually, I also could not believe, when it started hitting over 40000 views every day.

      2. I also sincerely pray that what ever I have said doesn’t come true. Do share these articles with your college mates.

    1. Thank you so much, Subbashini, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad you liked it. I enjoyed your blog too.

  26. Well researched & interesting article . Does the content justify the tittle of the article “WW 3” makes me wonder .

  27. This makes a lot of sense . If we look at Chinese history and there role they r the least dependable people and country . India lost after independence a war just because it got carried away with Hindi chini Bhai Bhai – while never realising the goals expansionism of China same is being faced by west .The other country Pakistan is already one involved in global terrorism. So we have a very potent combination of communism Islam expansionism and lies copyright closure all one can think off . The world needs to realise before it’s late

    1. The issue is very simple. The world fails to learn from Chinese history and understand how do Chinese people think. Their thought process is very different from the rest of the world, and that is where we all make repeated mistakes.
      The modern economy is so entwined and intermingled that discarding China may not be possible. In fact, China has done the opposite. It had pushed the west to where it was a decade ago. Their growth rate is negative, whereas China would still maintain a sub 2% growth rate.
      Therefore, the day we are able to peep into the Chinese psyche, that is the day we would be able to make the correct decision against them.
      Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

    1. Thank you so much, Indrani, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you liked it.

  28. Excellent article. I think we are perhaps seeing the emergence of a more integrated global technocratic system, with the Chinese economy at the helm.

    1. Thank you so much, Eddie, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. The world is surely integrated, and it would get over the present situation sooner than later. However, China has to mend its way, if it really wants to be at the held of the affairs.

  29. It’s an eye opener article digging out few concepts and fact findings which many of us otherwise won’t even ever reach those knowledge resources… Changing Chinese wisdom strategy from “Deck the Tree with False Blossoms” to new era wisdom of “Besiege Wei to rescue Zhao” is a great connecting journey well explained with data around it.. The patience to read this long article was worth for the outcome of knowledge for the reader at end.. Kudos to the eye for detail and slice & dice of relevant data on this topic.. 🙏

    1. It is always a pleasure to have a review from you, Sanjeev. China is getting impatient due to rising unemployment numbers(5.8%) and rising expectations from the CPC. Their Tower of Babble is achievable, but not under present circumstances and the means employed. The coming days are very interesting as well as scary, depending up, which way the world tilts.

  30. Congratulations, a well-articulated and researched article. I do not doubt China’s supremacy in manufacturing, military, economic abilities. At the same time, to think of that it is a part of the conspiracy/ plan to conquer the world is not thinkable. In my opinion, everything filled in places, while China was focused and driving its economy, the rest of the world was more focused on its limited localised issue. The world is happy to consume what China produced for them at lower costs. I prefer to blame the US & western powers for all these blunders over the years whether it is the middle east crisis or rise of Islamic fundamentalists, unhindered rise of China, unethical consumerism, the weaponisation of the states and so on.
    I am looking forward to your next part of this theory. I am sure it will be a good read.
    Covid crisis, economic depression, forthcoming US elections maybe are the reasons for the next conflict. But you are right in your comments that most of the nations being nuclear powered an armed conflict is ruled out as on now.

    1. Thank you so much, Amit, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. It has indeed been an amazing 5 days, with over 190000 views from 200 odd countries.
      The article is not blaming China or form that matter any Western power either. It is just a narrative of the rise of China, and what all tactics were employed to achieve that end.
      The work on the concluding part is on and should be out in another two days.
      Warm regards.

  31. Congratulations for such a brilliant and well researched article . As China is dominating in manufacturing facility and given loan to number of countries to make dependent on them. It is really difficult for others countries to shift their purchase from China to any other country or depend on their own domestic market due to most important factor is cost . Due to cost effective every one is moving towards China.
    Very much interested to read your next part.

    1. Thank you so much, Davinder, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. You have brought out very clearly how the world is dependent on China for critical supplies. Moving businesses out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China over three decades ago, so moving out would not be in a jiffy. China produces 30% of the manufactured goods of the world, and some of them are critical components used by various industries in their finished products. So even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task, they neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.

  32. Yes, we (the rest of the world) must get tough with China. The problem is, many of us have vested interest. For example, China successfully forced big names such as Marriott Hotels and all major airlines to name Taiwan as a part of China on their websites and brochures. Most U.S. corporations talk about free speech loudly in America – but in China, they shut their mouths and obediently follow the Communist Party’s orders. China is a big market – the CCP leverages this to make foreign companies dance to its tunes and bend to its will. Trump listens to Wall Street and corporate America who depend on the Chinese market for their profits. Apple has a huge market in China for its iPhones. Universities in America, Canada, UK and Australia depend heavily on money from Chinese students for their revenues. Even Trump’s daughter Ivanka has a clothing business in China. Many western companies depend on China for cheap labor. American retailers such as Walmart and Target depend on China for cheap products. In my opinion, these are the biggest hurdles we face in dealing with China. I lived in China for many years, so I know something.

    1. Thank you so much, Graham, for stopping by sharing your wonderful experience. The road ahead is getting tougher, day by day, for China. But no leading regime has been flawless, be it American or Britain. Every hegemon has been challenged by the underlings and replaced. China had a good run for the last 40 years. The present challenges do not mean that China is over, and out. This just means that the road ahead won’t be easy anymore.
      I know, people around the globe are beating their chests, that the time for China is up. Withdraw, all the factories, and manufacturing units from there, etc, etc. However, my position is this, that moving the businesses out would take time, and may not be 100% achievable. Big corporate houses started shifting to China, over three decades ago. Moving out would not be in a jiffy. China manufactures 30% of the produce of the world. Some of them are critical components, used by various industries in their finished products. So even if other countries are ready to take on the mammoth task. They neither have the infrastructure, nor they have the skilled laborers. After all, Rome was not built in one day.
      You are absolutely correct in pointing out the timidity in approach by big corporate, and world leaders, in dealing with China. They very easily point out human rights abuses in a weak country, but when it comes to China, they overlook issues of Tibet or Xinjiang.
      I suppose there would be a small dip in Chinese progress, thereafter it would march on regardless.

      1. Oh, by the way, Kishore Mahbubani keeps repeating that the US-China clash is just a simple clash of a rising power versus existing (current) superpower. This is WRONG – it is too naive, too simplistic. You need to follow Kishore’s fellow Singaporean, Bilahari Kausikan, who I think is much smarter than Kishore. China is too fragile, too insecure, to be categorised as a “real” rising power.

      2. Oh, I had lined up one book of Kishore to be read. I haven’t seen Bilahari’s work. Thanks for the info. We should not underestimate China, it has a lot of nuisance value.

      3. You said “there would be a small dip in Chinese progress, thereafter it would march on regardless” — I disagree with this. There is too much uncertainty about China, also too much opposition building up against China. Just ask Taiwan, Korea, Japan, Vietnam, Phillipines and India (all neighbours of China). Many African countries, after signing up to China’s initiatives, are now having serious doubts. Sorry to say, but your assertion is too naive.

      4. These GDP figures are from the IMF and the World Bank. They have already estimated the Chinse growth rate for 2021-22 to be 5.9% because they exactly know how many companies are moving out.
        You are right when you say, that all the countries in China’s neighborhood, and in Africa are complaining about China, but what else they have done, which shows their resolve. Japan is the only country that has shown some political spine. You are here, I am also here, we will see for sure what transpires. To stop the rise of China, much bigger, and bolder steps are required.
        They have a saying in China, ”every man is a whore, the question is, what is the price”. We have seen China using this understanding of world time, and again.

    1. Thank you so much, Anurag, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I shall visit your post for sure, just give me some time.

  33. Indian and Chinese strategies are as different as game of Chess & Go. We still wait for the frontal attack with swollen chest while they bleed us economically from behind. China finances it’s defence budget with just exports to India. It is capitalist in the skin of communism while we still remain socialist. It has learnt the US Petro Dolllar game and marching towards alternative reserve currency. We on the other hand are destroying our capital through demonetisation, deflating stock markets, devaluing real estate etc and now building moats with FDI policy which is a defensive strategy at best. We keep on devaluing the rupee so that it’s no longer a store of value for the rich which results in flight of capital. INR has just remained a means of exchange for the poor. We take loans in foreign currency and keep paying interest against a ballooning debt with devaluing currency. We don’t talk about the gold we sent for safe keeping abroad. Why can’t we keep our gold safe in India? We don’t understand the economic steps of making India a 5T$ economy. A country who cannot defend its currency or enhance its rate of adoption worldwide cannot prosper. We don’t learn from our mistakes and keep repeating them. From a Russian puppet we are now a US prop.

    1. Thank you so much, Amit, for stopping by sharing your wisdom. We are certainly not an American prop, else we would have gotten the same beggar’s bowl, what China got from the USA. China literally fed from the American hands for the last 40 years, and when the meat was over, it started feeding on the flesh of the feeding hand. We have to understand the Chinese psyche. They don’t have a normal human being’s psyche. They are different. If one has to beat China, then one has to use their psyche, of inhuman and unemotional, detached human being’s psyche. The day India masters that, China is nothing. After all, they are culturally inferior to us. Even after thousands of years of civilization they don’t have a proper script and use signs and rebus, just like a caveman. So be brave, you have 10000 years of culture and history behind you, compared to their 3000 years of barbaric history. Eagerly waiting to hear from you. Warm regards.

      1. Even after 10000 years of history, the Chinese still allow their children to do their dirty ***** toilet business anywhere and everywhere – inside buses, in public areas of trains, within the public areas of stations, etc. The Chinese spit on the floor inside office buildings and restaurants, push and shove their way in buses without any “pardon” or “excuse me” (NO communication at all), etc. I lived in China for several years, so I know.

        Concepts such as society, people helping each other as a community – these concepts don’t exist in China. For example, even simple organisations such as “apartment residents welfare association” are non-existent in China.

        You should watch this Youtube video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xz42BrlkBD8 (people are dying in accidents – but Chinese people simply walk by without helping).

      2. I understand how you feel. I have not lived in China, but I surely watch them very closely. That is the reason I have been saying that you can’t beat China while wearing any goggles, other than the Chinese goggles. One has to get into their skin and their psyche and then one would see the backdoors which can be exploited.
        Thanks for the video, I shall watch it at leisure.

    1. Thank you so much, Anita, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I understand the length part. Even I want it to be shorter. Bu the topic is such that I can write a book on this subject.

      1. Everyone is so charged up. I hope this synergy to do something remains, and it doesn’t become business as usual after a few months.

      2. Good morning Sandomina! Keep writing ✍🏻 the world is a stage where each one of us has a part to play. The writer’s pen 🖊 is his sword 🗡
        Happy Sunday to you and yours.

      3. Thank you so much, Anita. That’s very kind of you. People have really appreciated this article of mine. It has crossed 200000 views in one week’s time, across 190 countries. It gives a lot of pleasure and satisfaction when hard work is acknowledged.

  34. It was a nice read . What I am surprised about is why no world body except for the US , Australia & then partly Italy & Germany asking for a clear & unambiguous report of the response to the pandemic when it started initially . Why was blanket ban on all kinds of travel not in place on the epicenter ie Wuhan . I think this along with what you have mentioned was a deliberate plan to tilt the balance of trade , & deal a blow on the financial markets . It also has influenced the WHO & for that matter even the UN . The Chinese have been on this path since a long time which also preceded the date you have mentioned by disseminating their spies throughout the world in the garb of students , businessmen & for that matter even tourists . It’s high time our world in general take account of this & in particular ask for financial compensation which could run upto trillions of dollars , what after wreaking havic the world over . Don’t you also think that the 5G services have been commensurate with the timing of the pandemic ? .

    1. The U.S., Australia, Italy, and Germany are asking these questions because they know, they have to answer to their people now, and during the upcoming elections. China owns most of the big mines in Australia. They have infiltrated their politics, universities, and even churches. They have a saying in Chinese, ”every man is a whore, the question is, what is the price”.
      You have brought out some very pertinent questions. The travel ban, WHO, UN, and trade deals. The world has been accepting Chinese misbehavior for a long time. The issue is that greed is much bigger than ethics. If rich and famous have nothing to gain from a country, that country would be given all sorts of sermons, but when it comes to China, they know, if they move their businesses out, on ethics, there are others waiting in the wings to replace them. They continue, so what if at the expense of few ethics and morals. I know people are angry, and some businesses would move out, there would be a dip in Chinese earnings, but that it. It is going to just a dip. IMF and World Bank have already estimated the Chinse growth rate for 2021-22 to be 5.9% because they exactly know how many companies are moving out. Thank you so much, Zaki, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

    1. You are right, the world would take some measures, but if we are expecting China to back off, then that would not happen. There were drastic measures implemented after WW 2, do we see those measures anywhere on the horizon?
      Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

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