2025 – END GAME CHINA – WAR A CERTAINTY – PART 1

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Deceptive China: Courtesy Pixabay

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DECEPTION A WAY OF LIFE IN CHINA

China draws heavily from two famous historical military bluffs and Sun Tzu’s teachings, in its day-to-day life. The legendary stories revolve around Li Guang and his 100 horsemen (144 BC), and Zhuge Liang and the Empty City (228 AD).

The legend has it that Li Guang(nicknamed The Flying General by his Xiongnu enemies) and his 100 horsemen were once surrounded by thousands of Xiongnu. His soldiers got scared and wanted to run, however, Li Guang asked them to take off the saddles and pretended to settle down. The Xiongnu were puzzled, they thought Li Guang was waiting to ambush them in the darkness. They soon withdrew. Li and his 100 horsemen survived.

Zhuge Liang was a formidable strategist, but once he got stuck in a fort with limited number of soldiers while his arch-enemy Sima was approaching with his forces. Zhuge wanted to withdraw to a more defensible position and needed to buy time. So he threw the gates of the fortress open, with no one but himself atop the main gate calmly playing a zither. Sima, suspected a trap. He took his time to strategize, that gave time to Zhuge and his forces to withdraw. Zhuge was able to beat Sima in their next encounter.

Finally the teachings of Sun Tzu and Chairman Mao. During China’s surprise attack on India in 1962, Mao had stated, ”We are not going to invade India, we will not destroy India. We are just going to follow the proper techniques of Sun Tzu: You don’t use force to crush the enemy, you use it to intimidate and nudge them back to the negotiating table”.

Such fables and Sun Tzu’s theories are leading China astray. By bullying its neighbors and resorting too often to deception, China is suffering the shortcomings of ancient strategic concepts. These methods have provoked anti-China sentiments. China’s leaders greatly admire these ancient strategic ideas, however, in reality, it just induces a greatly mistaken sense of superior skill. China’s history is full of defeats. If the subtlety, complexity, and tricks of these kinds of literature were for real, China would not have been under foreign rule in most of the last 1,500 years. The age-old Chinese problems and disputes with all its neighbors have not gone away and rather have compounded in 2020.

China’s shenanigans and fetid behavior have given rise to anti-China sentiments, across the globe. The US graph shows how post-COVID China’s approval rating has fallen in the United States. The other graphs of India, Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam are from 2002 to 2019, showing a continuous decline in China’s rating. The rating would have declined drastically post-COVID. These are important neighbors of China. China’s relations are imploding with 12 out of 14 land neighbors and all 7 maritime neighbors.

CLEAR-CUT WARNINGS WORLD AND NEIGHBORS CHOSE TO IGNORE

China wants to push for the concept of ’Pax Sinica’ at any cost. Almost a decade ago, Qiushi Journal, the official publication of the ruling CPC said ”We must send a clear signal to our neighboring countries that we don’t fear war, we are prepared at any time to go to war to safeguard our national interests. What is especially unbearable to us is how the US blatantly encourages China’s neighboring countries to go against China. We cannot completely blame the US, as flies do not stare at seamless eggs(a statement from the book ’Secret Tales of Shenque Palace’).  China’s neighboring countries need China’s international trade more than China needs them, therefore, they, but not China, will suffer greater damage by antagonizing China. China should make good use of these economic advantages and strategic power. We must evolve a counter-strategy, the idea of pursuing a strong policy against neighbors joining the US alliance. If required, we must even attack a nearby enemy and form anti-US alliances in Latin America, and Africa.  It further stated that China should launch a public opinion war by making effective use of free media in the US and other democracies.

China has followed every word written in the CPC journal to a ’T’. Why did world leaders choose to ignore these open threats given by the CPC? It is beyond every logical thinking, or may be they believe that ‘logic is a limited level of thinking’.

THE CHINESE INTENTIONS AT THE INDO-TIBETAN BORDER

The CPC journal makes complete sense in the present situation. India is leaning towards the United States and China is keeping its word of attacking the neighbors who do not toe its line. The Chinese intrusions in Ladakh have been a regular feature in the past, however, the present intrusion into the Indian territory is not a regular one. What are the objectives of China this time around? Let us consider the following points:

  • India: India has achieved many feats in the recent past, which it had not done in decades –
    • Built a 255-km Darbuk-Shayok-Daulat Beg Oldie (DS-DBO) road.
    • Daulat Beg Oldie is the highest airstrip in the world, where India can land C-130 J aircraft boosting strategic airlift capability.
    • Finished the bridge over the Galwan River, which is about 7 km from the LAC, in addition to 36 more bridges.
    • Creating a network of feeder roads connecting the DS-DBO road.
    • Indian soldiers managed to reach ‘Finger 8’(the Indian claim line) during last summer, using an alternate route, which shook PLA top brass.
  • China:
    • Chinese decisions and actions are deliberate and not inadvertent trespassing.
    • DBO is the Easternmost point of the Karakoram Range located about 8 Km South of Chinese border and 9 Km North West of Aksai Chin LAC.
    • The Karakoram Pass lies to the North West of DBO at a distance of approximately 17 Km.
    • China has strong objection to Indian infrastructure projects, even though they are on the Indian side of LAC.
Courtesy: Indian Defence News
    • The area between Karakorum Range and Kunlun Range including the area of Gosthana(Aksai Chin is a relatively recent Chinese sponsored Uighur name. Ladakhis & Tibetans called it by the Sanskrit name ’Gosthana’=place of the cows) is very vital to China.
    • Gosthana is essential to Chinese control of not only Western Tibet but the whole of Tibet.
    • To maintain its gains next Chinese arm twisting would come in Arunachal Pradesh followed by Indian Ocean Region.
    • Chinese think tanks have been making swap offers – They are pressing India to recognize the Chinese occupation of Gosthana(Aksai Chin) and in return, China will give up its claim on Arunachal Pradesh.
    • They have convinced some Indian strategists to think on these lines. China is an untrustworthy nation and India should not fall for such offers.
    • In coming days China would also lay claims on 
      • Galwan Valley – Access to Gosthana(Aksai Chin).
      • Gogra/Hot Spring Area – Secondary access to Gosthana.
      • Demchok Area – Threat to Ngari Aiport in Tibet(50 Km).
    • The buzz on the foreign intelligence circuit is that China should weaken India’s position in Siachen Glacier by denying India access to Shyok and Nubra valley and eventually cut off India from Siachen. This would redraw the LAC south of Saser La and cut off DBO completely from India.
    • This would facilitate the proposed road connecting Tibet with Gilgit-Baltistan in POK, without Indian interference.
    • The modification of LAC would also secure the CPEC project very dear to Xi Jinping.

WHY WAR IS A CERTAINTY BUT IT WON’T BE AN INDIAN WAR

A greedy father has thieves for children.’~ Serbian Proverb

  • China has no option but to go to war. It has never learned how to face issues holistically. It got used to using sharp power so often and blatantly that it forgot how to deal with self-created challenges, and there are plenty of them staring at China:
    • Credibility Challenge – Accountability for COVID-19.
    • Diplomatic Challenge – Sino-US, Sino-India, Sino-Maritime Neighbors.
    • PR Challenge – Threat to Australia on trade, India for PPEs, mask diplomacy with EU, and ill-treatment of African nationals during the peak of the pandemic.
    • Financial Challenge – Claims of financial compensation from various quarters.
    • Economic Challenge – De-sinicization of the world supply chain, impact on exports, and mounting unemployment.

To counter these challenges Xi Jinping addressed a CPC meeting some time back. He reminded them of a “bottom-line thinking,” calling on China to make mental and physical preparations for changed conditions, black swan, and grey rhino events. He cautioned them that the external domains would remain disturbed due to the pandemic and the situation would last for a long period of time. Xi’s bottom-line thinking indicates that China will not be cowed down, rather it is ready for a long haul, will fight force with force, and confront severe challenges with retribution. In the post-pandemic time, the world is likely to come to a new normal marked more by all-around clashes than cooperation. Sun Tzu had usefulness in intra-Chinese politics, but he did not prepare China well for the world.

China has an important lesson to learn, which Sun Tzu did not teach them: ’the real problems of the world do not come from the insane, but the sane’. And Xi Jinping is a sane man. Keeping in mind the happenings in and around the country, Indians also have a lesson to learn, and that is: ’Never confuse emotivism for critical thinking skills’.

CONTINUE TO PART 2

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143 thoughts

  1. All governments of the world must rise over this non-sensical realist shrewdness of pulling each other’s legs needlessly and should instead show some maturity required in modern times for the development and progress of all.
    Thanks for giving some valuable info on some historic generals and thinkers of China like Li Guanga, Zhuge Liang, and Sun Tzu.
    Best wishes!

      1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.

    1. * at the same time while fully committed to the idea of peace and stability around us, we should also be fully prepared strategically as well as militarily to safeguard our national integrity and dignity if need be, given that not all are peace-lovers in the international realm.
      regards,

      1. At this time when love for China and all things Chinese is at its peak all over the world , an attack on india will be its biggest mistake as we will have huge support from all quarters.

      2. Thank you so much, Rinku, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
        Isn’t it surprising that China is taking advantage of the pandemic, which was spread by them? They are bullying all their neighbors when they are down. There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is.

    2. Thank you so much, Atul, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.

  2. Will this lead to a Mini World War 3? I guess US will back off by November after Trump achieves his objective for generating a Nationalistic fervor. That leaves Nations in the South China Sea and India. Can we all ring fence China without the direct involvement of US or Europe is the Question. Russia under Putin can give good support. Then there is the aspect of Economics, Oil prices etc. Covid 19 is going to be the cause of WW3 and redraft many established practices/ treaties/ laws.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      It may not lead to war as of now, but one mistake from any side and situation may spiral out of control. This also gives India a chance to correct it’s mast mistakes and choose the allies wisely.

  3. i think, do believe.. that China intends war, the way they think … so infiltrating.. i think the reason why they make aggressive attempts also in our country, Philippines, at the scarborough shoul is to make military base .. prep for war.. they do this at Australia and Guam too.. they have bases there, no one or few seems to be aware…

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      It may not lead to war as of now, but one mistake from any side and situation may spiral out of control. Isn’t it surprising that China is flexing its muscles with most of its neighbors after infecting them with viruses? This is the way China thinks and operates, but for how long the world would ignore this fact.

  4. Meanwhile, in the USA people fight about whether or not they should wear a mask and the President (I can’t call him mine) insists that Covid-19 is “gone”. I can’t wait till he is.

    1. I just fail to understand. What is wrong with people? They are worried about others’ safety, but what about their own.

  5. Last century we had a pandemic followed by World War. We never learn anything from history, forcing it to repeat itself. Stupid high headed, short sighted humans thrive on mistakes.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      Isn’t it surprising that China is taking advantage of the pandemic, which was spread by them? They are bullying all their neighbors when they are down. There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is.

      1. It will come back to them, Sumita. Whether one believes in Karma or not, that is the only reality.

  6. The analysis seems spot on. China seems now stuck between a rocka and a hard place, albeit both of its own making.

    1. Thank you so much, Raman, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.

  7. While there were noises made about threat China posed, the pandemic has brought out into public view.

    I agree that there will be a war. Though there is some speculation China will retreat in the winter, I am quite sceptic about it. And I think we will fight China in Ladakh and we must also neutralise Pakistan to an extent in case there is two-front war. Pakistani commentators have been signalling at it for quite some time.

    China is making aggressive moves near Taiwan. Any skirmish there will involve the US in the that zone of the Indo-Pacific. That would be right time for the Indian Army to move in a short military operation to drive back China and build on it.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      Isn’t it surprising that China is taking advantage of the pandemic, which was spread by them? They are bullying all their neighbors when they are down. There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is.
      We should stay focused and drive China out at any cost.

    1. Thank you so much, Frances, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.

  8. Superb analysis as always and eye opening reading. Thank you for this.
    Today, I can only say that just a few years from now I want to see this country weakening and falling in the pits they are digging for others.

    1. While war is a very strong word to be used in the current scenario, China’s belligerence has the potential to lead the world into one.
      Despite its weak Pre-2000s political mindset, the Indian armed forces have always given a beating to the aggravation of its neighbours, albeit with some back stabbing and posturing thrown in.
      The world has changed and new India will not back down. Indian armed forces are now fully supported by its political leadership, there is a common aim and the Chinese economic wrangling to weaken India internally are being exposed.
      Literally it’s time for the Hans to wake up and smell the coffee, or get metaphorically consumed by the very virus they have been accused of creating.

      1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
        You have summed it up very well. There is no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is. India has to remain focused and prepare well. The road ahead is tough and treacherous.

    2. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      Isn’t it surprising that China is taking advantage of the pandemic, which was spread by them? They are bullying all their neighbors when they are down. There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is.

      1. I appreciate your expertise – and your ability to make complexities understandable. That is a rare gift.

      2. Merely telling the truth as I find it….Richly deserved. 🙏 Keep up the great work.

      1. All is well with ST, @sandomina; we’ll let him know the site isn’t showing up for you.

      2. Thanks, D’Nanada, ST, just showed up over the horizon. He is resolving the issue.

  9. Very aptly written with a clear understanding of the Chinese Psyche. The Chinese leaders have become so engrossed with their vain beliefs on old deceptive tales & strategies, that they have limited their thinking. They use this diversionary tactic to cover up their inherent insecurities on the Main Land. How they hold up against the imminent disintegration ( like the mighty USSR), only Time can tell

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is. India should not fall for their sweet talk at any cost.

  10. Curiosity filled part 1. China mindset since ages coming out of stories around Guang and Liang way of war survival. 90% declining trend among 21 land/marine neighborhood indicates a wake up call for China. Bolds steps taken by India such as works done around Daulat Beg Oldie and bridge on Galwan river indicates a firm robust Indian offensive side which was missing since independence. The curiosity created in part 1 is huge and I am eagerly waiting for part 1. Great article.. Worth reading in detail line by line to get holistic view of Indo China scenario and impact.

    1. Thank you so much, Sanjeev, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      Isn’t it surprising that China is taking advantage of the pandemic, which was spread by them? They are bullying all their neighbors when they are down. There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is. Finally, the world has recognized this aspect of China. I am hopeful that in the coming days, a bigger and more powerful coalition would take shape against China.

  11. Thanks for yr enlightening post on the Chinese psychology of deception and provocation to counter their own fears(arising out of their inherent insecurities) on not being capable of resolving bilateral issues having never tried doing it the correct way. Lets keep prepared for the probable combat with the treacherous neighbour /enemy! Waiting eagerly for part-II, Sandeep dear !

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      The anger against China is rising day by day. Billions of people have lost their livelihood due to Chinavirus. This anger has to be channelized to start a global moment against China. People have to be told that there is no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is.

  12. Though war is a very strong term to be used in the current scenario, as both sides know the serious ramifications, Chinese belligerence seems to be devoid of a clear minded approach.
    Despite its weak pre-2000s political mindset, the Indian armed forces have always given a sound thrashing to aggravations by its neighbors, albeit prone to back stabbing and callous posturing by the two unfriendly states.
    This time India is not backing down. The Indian military has full backing of the political leadership, there is a common aim and the Indian public is up in arms to throw out the infiltrator. Chinese economic wrangling to weaken India internally using paid media and unscrupulous businesses is also being exposed.
    The Hans have to literally wake up and smell the coffee, or be metaphorically consumed by the very virus they have been accused of creating.
    Whichever way the wind blows, it’s time for the adults to step in and engage in a mature conversation.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I am glad that you have liked it.
      Isn’t it surprising that China is taking advantage of the pandemic, which was spread by them? They are bullying all their neighbors when they are down. There could be no nation on this planet as selfish and slimy as China is.
      India should be focused and determined to achieve long-term goals.

  13. This is a very scary scenario developing in South Asia. What is the mighty United States doing?

  14. Slimy is the word. History is writ bold and not-so-beautiful all over the place, but we have become such a self-centered and irreparably myopic race we cannot see past our noses. China wants supremacy here and now. The cost of that will set itself and the world a few decades back on many fronts. But no one cares. Political diplomacy will prevent the rest of the world from joining forces for good, while mindless marauders, dushman ka dushman dost types, will keep breaking bread on bonfires of others’ fuel. So much for progress and evolution, global village mandates and other romanticized notions. This is just a waiting game now.

    1. Thank you so much, Tejaswi, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. It is indeed sad that China out of economic slowdown and Pakistan due to internal repudiation, are hell-bent upon taking the region on the harm’s way.
      I shall bring out the strategy of dealing with these raucus neighbors.

    1. Thank you so much, Cherie, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I suppose this is the beginning of the end of China. They should have enjoyed the success, which was trusted upon them by the West, but they chose to flaunt it by flexing their muscles.

      1. That’s right. Some people can’t handle even a little bit of power! Xi Zinping is one of those people. He’s a megalomaniac and it shows!

      2. Cherie, there is a lot of resentment against Xi Jinping and his handling of Chinavirus, economy, and Hang Kong. Whatever he does to curb these dissenting voices, eventually they would surface and come out in open. We have to help those voices to eventually save the civilized world.

      3. Trump had a great rally in Tulsa the other night. Only blm and antifa people were blocking the entrance and wouldn’t let anyone else in. But Tulsa handled it. CNN focused on one section of empty seats and tried to say that turnout wasn’t good. But the American people knew better.

      4. That’s great. We are hoping like hell that he comes back with thumping majority. Keep us updated.

  15. Excellent writing . You rightly said China is nt a trustworthy country anymore and it is going in one corner where it would have it’s some of its friends. But maximum country is going against it. Yes. It is fact that some of countries use to be dependent in case of importing. But economic retaliation is already started. Self independence concept or alternate resourcing concept is going to hit China badly and gradually it would have to face fiscal deficit. Not now but in near future,It would have to suffer. All this is due to its negative attitude.

    1. Thank you so much, Debananda, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.
      I suppose this is the beginning of the end of China. They should have enjoyed the success, which was trusted upon them by the West, but they chose to flaunt it by flexing their muscles. Xi Jinping has a lot to hide from its citizens. Nationalism and war are two useful tools in every dictator’s hand.

  16. Interesting post… I found a video (2015?) of Xi speaking to the UN General Assembly “responding to concerns over China’s growing military might and territorial disputes in the Asia-Pacific region”. Xi told the UN that “China will never pursue hegemony or expansion or sphere of influence”. At the same time, he said China would “take the lead in setting up permanent police keeping police squad, pledge 8,000 troops for a UN peacekeeping standby force, and contribute $100 million of free military assistance to the African Union to support establishment of an African Standby Force”. During a 2019 visit to South Africa, I read press coverage of police busting Chinese inside the country with fake South African passports and stashes of Rand. Chinese have been poaching tons of South African abalone with “an annual illicit catch exceeding 3,000 tons – the legal catch set by the South African government is 30 times smaller.

    1. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. China has colonized Africa and gone beyond ethical behavior expected from a responsible nation. They have exploited the African environment which has no comparison in recorded history. I just keep wondering that when would the civilized world take note of this behavior beyond the pale.

      1. I’ve spent time in many African countries, but mostly South Africa, where the ruling party – post-apartheid Socialist Marxist African National Congress (ANC) – has proven to be as, if not more, corrupt than its apartheid predecessors. In many African countries the person who gains control maintains power for decades and opposition parties meet a disastrous end – Uganda, Zimbabwe, etc., etc. Corruption and theft in South Africa’s government created crucial energy problems with aging, unmaintained coal-powered plants – it’s a dangerous situation with frequent and extended rolling blackouts. That, added to serious drought / water issues, extreme poverty, and violent crime makes it a very volatile situation! More radical offshoots of the ANC – Julius Malema and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) – are always pro socialist and communist countries and may even be in awe of the CCP. It’s a complex situation – I can’t imagine how things will flesh out over the next decade… China is taking advantage for sure!!!

      2. That’s is such a dark side of human nature. Plato once said,” We can easily forgive a child who is afraid of the dark; the real tragedy of life is when men are afraid of the light”. That is our real nature. We are scared of reality, that forces us to believe in fake leaders and their promises.
        It’s such a pleasure to read your informed views. It really enriches me and broadens my horizon.

  17. China is running into stiff resistance from many quarters, Hongkong, Taiwan, ASEAN Joint statement on South China Sea, Tibet and India as also from within (COVID19). Additional pressure from US, EU and UK. China may not be able to actively open up action on all fronts, but will certainly try and make a decisive strike at one of the objectives that it feels is the lowest hanging fruit to send a message to her adversaries. India must remain firmly poised and unrelenting to dissuade Chinese aggression. We are doing fairly well in the Diplomatic and Military fronts …… reading of the Chinese mind still remains an enigma…. Waiting for Part 2

    1. Thank you so much, Atul, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. There is a lot of resentment against Xi Jinping and his handling of Chinavirus, economy, and Hong Kong. Whatever he does to curb these dissenting voices, eventually they would surface and come out in open. We have to help those voices to eventually save the civilized world. We should not bank too much on the EU. Whatever we have to do, has to be done independently. We can expect a helping hand from the U.S., Japan, and Australia. How, when, and where is a big question. Reading the Chinese mind is no more an enigma. In fact, it is very predictable. It was our mistake, that we used to read them from our prism of morality.

  18. Most relevant sharing. What is happening in Ladakh and also on the border with China is a stark reality now. China wants to show to its neighbors that no one can remain peaceful if any of them antagonist China in any way. It may be any neighbor, China cares no one. Nepal sided China and lost some of its villages to China! China is placating our other neighbors like Pak, Sri Lanka, Bangla Desh, etc. by throwing some dollars at them thereby earning their goodwill but all neighbours should realize that Chinese are a selfish lots; they want to achieve their ends by deception or coercion.

    There is some disturbance going on inside China but there people cannot raise their voice against the central regime because of iron-clad rules prevailing. What is happening in Hong Kong, Tibet and Taiwan is known to everybody.

    In the AoR of India, China is creating problem by occupying one part of territory at one place and another at other place while keeping the rut of TALK TALK but keep pushing on for consolidation of the defenses non-challenge. What has happened in E Ladakh is an eye opener. Chinese want to claim all the areas on which they lay their hands on – by force or through deception citing historical claim or by using force.

    I am of the firm view that India now is different. Its central leadership has clarity, vision and forbearance. We have better weaponry and our men behind the machine are better trained, experienced, acclimatized and hardy while being at snow clade mountains. PLA has not got exposure to any tangible experience. Their leadership should realize that this time over, if and when there is a war, they will have to fight on so many fronts, at sea with its immediate neighbours whose islands China is mentioning its own, USA which has sided with Taiwan et. It should be kept in mind, just introspect which country globally China is liked except for PAKISTAN!!!!? Half of the Pk is leased out to China presently. Not only Gwadar port, POK but also the Pakistan border with Gujarat is also leased to China! In reality, Pak could be construed as a colony of China now. The people there should realise that if this continues what would be their fate?

    If we take some passages from Chinese history, we can deduce that they think that they are superior to any other race and thus have the wherewithal to rule by expanding their SoI (Sphere of influence) by giving them doles, taking their land on lease bases, taking over their companies and also influencing their people by tall talks.

    As far as the construction of roads and feeder roads is concerned, these should have been done after 1962 dismal war loss. But we did not learn any lessons. Now the present dispensation has done so without caring of the opinion of our adversary. It is a tragedy that Chinese can make infra and road etc but we Indian cannot in our own land?!!!! How come?

    If India does not act now then she will repent. Also, nobody will come to their rescue, we shall have to fight our own battle ourselves. No country can be fully relied on. It will not fight and lose their men for protecting our borers. This realization should always be kept in mind. If we just think that in the battle there would be loss of men and materials, it would be without doubt; but losing FACE would be worst for our country than losing men and material in the war NOW.

    Your sharing is really very timely.
    HARBANS

    1. Pakistan is happy to be sold out if it could see India being punished by China. The Punjab region is what matters to them the most. Rest of it is up for sale.

      Free ka maal hai unke baap ka kya jaata hai?

      1. Your assessment is really on dot. But all Indians without reception feel perturbed on observing the state of condition PAKISTAN has put into by its own acts of omission and commission.

        Thanks and regards

      2. A country is as good as it’s leaders are. Pakistan started on a wrong footing and that made the basis of governance in that country. Once a pattern sets in, it is very difficult to break that mold.

      3. Affirmative, Pakistan’s from inception was steeped in corruption, self-centeredness and had only one agenda of contradicting what India does or does not do. The idea of Pak was flawed based solely on religion and narrow-mindedness which has resulted in situation which can well witness now. But too much on China has and will in future may rob them off their sovereignty and what they have.

      4. Problem is that the situation in Pakistan is deteriorating at a very fast pace. Instead of recognizing the core issues in their societies, they keep blaming India. In fact, China is a bigger threat to Pakistan than any other country. China is slowly and steadily gobbling up their resources. They have put their economy on a spiraling trajectory, from where recovery is going to be impossible.

      5. Your assessment in Pakistan is really very telling, self-inflicted and above all very distressing to say the least. Today, it has come to our knowledge that the Chinese are not allowing the Pakistani Muslims for their prayers (Namaj) which has been resented by the maulvis and others. This time it is like this much in other times iit would be on every aspects since Pak has leased out much of land to Chinese thus leasing the future of their future generations to crafty China. They will repent the irrational decisions after sometimes but that would be too late for the country as a whole. Similar is the position is developing with NEPAL.

      6. That’s correct, Harbans, Pakistan, and Nepal are going to get harmed by China in a big way. By the time they realize that it would be too late. In any way, China’s days are numbered. Countries of the free world have this last chance to reign in this evil entity else, we will see a bigger, and darker force than Nazi Germany.

      7. I really am in agreement with you. China have done much against the world at large and had reaped the harvest in a big way by way of spreading their empire and establishing as a global economic power but in doing so, it had a self-motive. It wanted to establish a permanent imprint of their country with whom so ever it dealt – dumped the sub-standard items cheap thus ruining the market industrial development of the native country. Then spread of Covid-19 to USA, EU and in almost every country made Chinese suspicious of their real intentions. Now, every country is realizing the the true intent of China. Lets see in which way the wind blows, but sure enough, it will not be a good tidings for China, it would not be business as usual. India has shown China what it cannot escape the consequences.

      8. Harbans, China is opening many fronts at the same time. This shows CPC and Xi Jinping’s desperation. Their economy is failing, unemployment is going through the ceiling, and the virus spread by them through our world is biting back. The war is not a choice anymore. It is a compulsion.

      9. Today our PM visited the Leh and Ladakh areas to see for himself the state of affairs there. The Chinese, have I taken in more than what it can chew. She is really escalating their problems on all fronts with their neighbours.

      10. It is actually good that China is opening many fronts. They have now criticized Russia for celebrating the anniversary of Vladivostok and claiming that as their territory. The country whose map looks like a chicken is actually behaving like a headless chicken running helter-skelter, aimlessly.

      11. It has been observed there is always a saturation point and when we cross our limit, Nature then intervenes since the egocentric tendencies of an individual or a country goes bust. Ego has really taken its toll on China leadership. Its head has lost all sense of proportion and thus would prove to be counter-productive. They should take some lesson from Rome, an empire which met its end due to its own omissions and commissions. The expansionist tendencies of China will not be good for itself.

      12. Harbans, only Indian or Australian pressure would not work. It would not topple the evil regime. All major countries have to come together. The European Union is the most reluctant entity in the whole game. They see China as a supplier and not a threat. They are still concentrating on Russia. They are stuck in the WWII era. If we want to avoid a future war, we must stymie China’s economic progression.

      13. Affirmative. Nobody will fight a war for us, not even USA. Yesterday, one of the speakers from Israel was having discussions with Arnab Goswami, he told that now that USA is busy in the elections, they will not delve in the war. Then EU, Arab countries have their own agenda. In our neighbour the less said the better. India, therefore, have to assert itself, have self-sufficiency in defence production, produce everything in the country, we are the IT giant, why not exploit the reservoir of IT pool and not be dependent on any country in this sector. ,

      14. Absolutely correct. Pakistan is thrilled, just like a small kid, who watches his father picking up a fight with another adult. We should put Pakistan on the back burners, it has only nuisance value.

    2. As always, it is a pleasure to read your informed reviews. Thank you so much, Harbans, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.
      We somehow live in the romanticism of yesteryears. The world has changed. There are no friendships between countries or leaders thereof. The most shocking example of that is Nepal. It is culturally, religiously, and economically so integrated with India that one could never think of them going their own way. Nevertheless, the rot had started over two decades ago and our leadership felt comfortable in their slumber.
      Geopolitics is an ever-evolving entity. No sluggish party would find solace in here.

      1. Your thought provoking articles are always well articulated, having informed opinions, covering all encompassing, thoroughly analysed touching upon historical, geo-politics, economics and others relevant aspects.

        Lets appraise your we;l informed opinions about what will happen in China-India sectors of influence and its implications on India and other neighbours.

        I think, China has bitten more than it can digest this time!

        Thanks sharing your write-ups full of know-how covering everything that is required to be covered.

  19. I think only the Congress has been Shut Eye to the Chinese aggression and did absolutely nothing to strengthen India against Chinese Hegemony ….. After Bofors it was all down hill …. If Nubra is threated be sure India will nuke the Chinese Forces !!!

    1. A lot is happening I cannot disclose as of now. I will disclose some of it in my forthcoming article. Thank you so much for stopping by and sharing your thoughts.

  20. As always great article with lots of insight!

    What do the stories of Li Guang and Zhu Jie Liang tell us?

    1) The cultural thinking pattern.
    2) The collective civilization wisdom (strategic).

    The 100 horsemen taking off their horse saddles interpreted as ambush at night and the other general just leaves the ground. Too good of a story for any practical use unless it tells us something about the Chinese mindset. Then we have the zither player who confounds with appearance with a contrary behaviour and leads to the survival of his besieged men to win another day.

    Then comes the chairman Mao himself who in his supreme strategic wisdom wanted to teach Nehru (India) a lesson and …boy o’ boy did he succeed in that!? One of the reasons was he exploited the urge of Nehru to be a global statesman of immense repute while lacking the inherent capabilities and requisite skill set. Consider this:

    On 7 November 1950, the then deputy prime minister Sardar Vallabh Bhai Patel (a month before his sad demise) wrote a letter to Panditji, warning of his too much of Hindi -Cheeni bhai bhai bonhomie and trying to wake him up to some realpolitik. In what seemed to be a prescient assessment of things to come, Sardar warns Nehru of communist imperialism and irredentism, taking a cue from the Tibetan occupation and its ramifications upon the neighboring Indian states.

    He tell him to prepare the country for a two-front war in future with both the green and red neighbors acting in unison to gain their strategic objectives. Nehru, as was hi wont, went on the path of his being the lone piper whose pipes were busted in 1962 and died a broken man – and not without leaving a lot of diplomatic and strategic mess behind.

    Panditji, is a good example of – the damage that the “great” men do while in a position of power (semi-dictatorial). His one sided love affair with Mao and a string of misreadings of the communist mindset did a psychological damage, to our analytic and strategic thinking, that outlived his life. This psychological phantom of PLA invincibility is hard to break as is evident from policy paralysis over beefing up defenses along LAC, spanning over decades, lest we annoy the powerful China. Our focus shifted to deriving satisfaction from beating up the ‘global Tommy’ on the western border for its misadventures.

    The constant Indian TV barrage of cringe-worthy jingoistic news to somehow counter that. The lack of political will, vis a vis the Chinese, was another symptom of broken spirit, till Mr Modi came to power in 2014 and started re-building the contacts with the neighbors and switched from P.V. Narsimha Rao’s ‘ look east ‘ to ‘act east’ policy. How much he has succeeded in that we shall see in these times.

    1962 was a war imposed on India when it had both poor political and military leadership. In 2020, we seem to have a powerful leader in politics and the military that is high in spirits to take on the oversized lizard that is China. The time is of the essence and the one who strikes the right note at the right time gets the standing ovation.

    Lets see what unfolds as we move to the end of 2020!

    1. Thank you so much, Jyotirmay, for your scholarly summation. It is always a treat to read your reviews.
      I feel we should bind our time for the time being and prepare. Chinese are there for a long haul and we should wait them out. There are a few chinks in our armor and we have to fix them.
      As per my studies, the next two years are very important for India. Eventually, we would come out on top, but the road ahead is tough and treacherous.

  21. Good analysis. For the next part please do consider two Strategy mistakes by India. One, we decided to not join the OBOR, thus forcing China to take the CPEC through Gilgit into Xinxian which is disturbed Chinese territory. Otherwise it would pass through Indian territory, specially the Ladakh area currently in conflict. That would have made China do the following at the minimum, 1. Sign a document admitting that area as Indian Territory; and 2. Have control over the petroleum supply in China, even though moderated by the trade agreement.

    The second big mistake was the declaration of the government in the Parliament that our next step after disintegrating J&K is to attempt to acquire POK including Aksai Chin. We did not have the intention, but we were singing. The have the intention but are quiet.

    1. Thank you so much, Avinash, for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. I shall surely consider the second mistake mentioned by you. The first mistake mentioned by you is actually not a mistake but a planned strategy.

    1. Thank you so much for your kind words. You are correct in your assessment. But this time China has bitten more than it can chew.

  22. Incredible post once again…thank you. I have heard, that in a very distant past, India & China held debates that rivaled modern events like the World Cup, the Super Bowl and/or the Olympic Games in importance. I forget how the exact quote went, but it was apparently from a Chinese discussion about another defeat at the hands of the Indians…something like – ‘ahhhhh, the Hindu Mind.‘ The others apparently nodded in agreement, and then everyone left. I am an American, so don’t know how much truth there is to that story; however, if true…that story probably permanently lingers in the Chinese mind, since they place so much importance on the past.

    1. Karmi, I am sure these debates were happening in ancient times since a large number of monks used to travel to China to give them their teachings. That could have affected their psyche in some way or the other. A large number of their ancient stories are based on Hindu God and goddesses(eg Monkey God Hanuman). India gave them from Buddhism to Martial Arts. Southeast Asia got benefitted by an Indian script called Brahmi. All modern scripts from Armenia to Korea have been designed by Indian monks, based on the Brahmi script. Even their country’s name ‘China’ comes from the Sanskrit word Cina or Chinasthana- the country to the east.

      1. Thanks for the update, and I agree. The “country to the east” definitely remembers losing most of those ancient debates!

  23. Coucou mon Amie Ami

    https://i.postimg.cc/C5Z7dy5X/bonne-journ-r.jpg

    Mes pensées à partager avec vous

    Il nous reste une vie malgré le temps qui court
    Il nous reste cette vie pour bien remplir nos jours quel quand soit son parcours
    Il nous reste la vie pour chercher l’ amour ou celle de l’amitié

    C’est vrai que nous cherchons parfois
    A nous raccrocher au passé
    Sans trop savoir pourquoi , surtout sans trop vouloir y penser

    Mais l’on sais bien qu’au fond de soi
    Que le temps coule comme un sablier
    Qu’importe mes Amies Amis il faut le vivre l’instant présent et profiter de nos journées

    Belle Journée ou Bonne fin d’après-midi a toi dans le calme et la douceur
    Bises amicales
    Bernard

  24. Very well researched work and great to know the mindset of the ancient Chinese generals which is still vigorously followed by China. Certainly the world have not bothered to seriously read and interpret the aims and objectives of China. The world economics is also one of the root cause behind the present problem and China does not want another economic power in Asia. India seems to have got excessively engrossed in internal matters rather than having a long term strategic policy to thwart the efforts of the northern neighbour.

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